If you accept James Burnham’s theory of managerialism, it is clear that AI is bringing that social order to an abrupt end. And changes in social order bring revolution.
We have a strange tendency, perhaps inherited by Marx, to omit questions of collective character from macrosocial analyses. It is almost as if we think the persons who constitute overclasses are interchangeable tokens. It’s just a quantitative difference ranging from zero power and total innocence to absolute power and absolute corruption.
I would say, though, that those who ascend by military prowess, those who ascend by risking and winning wild bets, those who ascend by forming interpersonal relationships, and those who ascend with pure engineering brainpower will form entirely different ruling classes who will dominate society very differently.
We are about to witness a return to genuine capitalism, after a hiatus we didn’t even realize had happened.
The means of production are being re-seized by a technological elite, who win, not by understanding people, but by rigorously excluding personal considerations. Theirs is an objectivity through elimination of subjectivity — or at least all subjectivity beyond their own hyper-technik subject.
These new technologies not only manufacture things, but information, analysis, insights, beliefs and souls. And they manufacture new technologies that invent technology-inventing technologies. And they manufacture weapon systems that no force of human warriors however large, skilled or brave can battle longer than a single afternoon.
Every age has its apocalypse. We have these apocalypses because each of us will die, and to our little selves, when we die the world dies with us. We feel it coming: nothingness.
We rummage in the dirt for what meanings mean.
The only way we have a return to genuine capitalism is with competition and I just don’t see that happening. If AI for profit improves by monopolizing compute power then we will see monopoly capitalism getting even worse with people like Peter Theil who call themselves free market libertarians but are actually just corporate monopolists (maybe they’re always the same?) continuing to consolidate power. Once production doesn’t require humans these people, with zero empathy, will gladly let the population starve.